Resources
FX market outlook 2026: Unpacking currency themes this year
7 min readAs we make our way into 2026, FX analyst Joe Tuckey looks ahead at the key events, fundamentals and major movers that could impact currency exchange this year. First, we look back at last year’s events and some of the broader themes at play. We’ll then go into more depth on the main points to consider for the dollar, sterling and the euro.
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The 2026 PSP Survival Guide Part 1: Facing the FinCrime Threat
2 min readJoin experts in FinCrime, AML and Fraud, from across the industry, as we discuss what’s on the horizon for FinCrime, the key strategies for success in 2026 and some key learnings from the industry.
Political risk meets policy divergence as pressure mounts on GBP/USD
1 min readIt’s politics and policy shaping major currency pairs at the moment, rather than the data coming our way. Sterling is feeling the pressure amid UK political uncertainty and a more dovish Bank of England, while the euro held steady following last week’s ECB meeting.
How to pay international employees: A guide for UK SMEs
11 min readWe compare banks, mass-market fintechs, and payroll providers as options for paying international employees. Each presents its own challenges for SMEs, especially those without a local presence in that country or a registered legal entity abroad.
Dollar finds footing as Warsh named Fed chair following nosedive
1 min readSwings in the dollar once again dominate conversation with stability largely in place at the start of the week. US policy uncertainty and plenty of data releases will remain pivotal for broader direction in the week ahead.
Strong UK retail and services data support sterling
1 min readIn the past week, sterling and the euro have both found support from easing geopolitical tensions and pockets of resilient domestic data. The dollar, on the other hand, remained weighed down by policy uncertainty and questions around Fed independence.
Dollar softens on tariff threats and UK data the difference for sterling
1 min readTrump’s latest tariff threats dominate headlines, keeping the dollar under pressure and traders on watch as trade tensions continue between the US and the EU/UK. Sterling has seen recent gains but awaits important data including UK CPI for clues on BoE policy.
Fed independence concerns weigh on USD as GBP holds firm
1 min readDiscussion revolves around USD this week, with upcoming data releases arguably less impactful than other news. Stories include tension between Trump and Fed Chair Powell, a pivotal Supreme Court ruling, and positive signals in UK-EU relations.
Dollar direction hinges on key US data releases
1 min readSterling is supported by a firm risk backdrop and patient BoE expectations, while euro direction hinges on inflation data and ECB resolve. For the dollar, a heavy U.S. data calendar and Friday’s jobs report remain the key swing factor for near-term moves.
Sterling advances as markets weigh BoE and US data
1 min readIt’s a huge week for inbound data across G3 currencies, providing key information to support central bank activity around inflation and employment, alongside an expected rate cut in the UK, and a hold from the ECB.