Market Updates

22 Jun 2026

Sterling firmer as Starmer stands aside

1 min read

A US/Iran peace deal, due to be signed in Switzerland, has lifted risk appetite and softened the dollar to start the week. The other big levers are the central bank meetings this week.

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22 Jun 2026

Sterling firmer as Starmer stands aside

1 min read

A US/Iran peace deal, due to be signed in Switzerland, has lifted risk appetite and softened the dollar to start the week. The other big levers are the central bank meetings this week.

15 Jun 2026

US/Iran peace deal softens dollar ahead of central bank meetings

1 min read

A US/Iran peace deal, due to be signed in Switzerland, has lifted risk appetite and softened the dollar to start the week. The other big levers are the central bank meetings this week.

8 Jun 2026

Dollar leads following jobs data as ECB takes centre stage

1 min read

A bumper US jobs report reset the tone last week, driving a sharp dollar rally and lifting the odds of a December Fed hike from around 40% to 70%. Renewed Middle East escalation keeps oil and the dollar supported. Attention now turns to Thursday’s ECB meeting.

1 Jun 2026

Middle East risk pulls GBP/USD both ways as data disappoints

1 min read

Conflict is keeping the majors penned into tight ranges, with safe-haven flows the clearest beneficiary. Middle East developments remain the dominant force across all three pairs this week, with risk-on/risk-off swings setting the tone.

18 May 2026

Sterling sinks as markets price in a new political reality for UK

1 min read

Sterling suffered its worst weekly drop since November 2024 last week as UK leadership challenges sent the pound and Gilts sharply lower. Hotter-than-expected US inflation data and a stronger dollar, added to the pressure.

11 May 2026

Starmer speech fails to dent markets – for now

1 min read

Last week’s local election results have plunged Starmer’s leadership into question, but continuing impact on currency markets remains to be seen. Sterling is supported by a broader risk-on sentiment, while the euro is held in check by growth concerns despite a ‘live’ ECB June meeting.

5 May 2026

Looming political risk keeps markets on edge as central banks hold

1 min read

A quieter week gives way to a pivotal one, with both the BoE and ECB meeting alongside the Fed. All are expected to hold rates, the question is what will the voting pattern look like? There’s also a packed calendar of data releases to keep an eye on.

27 Apr 2026

Voting pattern in focus at BoE interest rate meeting this week

1 min read

A quieter week gives way to a pivotal one, with both the BoE and ECB meeting alongside the Fed. All are expected to hold rates, the question is what will the voting pattern look like? There’s also a packed calendar of data releases to keep an eye on.

20 Apr 2026

Sterling rally stalls on IMF growth downgrade and political pressure

1 min read

Gains across sterling and the euro remain fragile, even with de-escalation hopes and surging equity markets taking the shine off the dollar’s safe-haven bid.

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